Blame it on The Dollar?
The crisis of IDP has been explained as being the result of the rising
value of the Australian Dollar combined with increasing in-country
competition. These statements are like saying that the Australian wine
export or tourism industries are facing liquidation because of these
same factors. Does this reflect an unwillingness to accept personal
responsibility?
Some might argue this
reflects a lack of planning as well as a lack of strategic vision by the
IDP Board. It seems hard to believe that a company like IDP has been
really so poorly managed over these recent years and that the Board has
tolerated this situation to develop. Has any one of them looked at
forward exchange rates? Did they ever consider reasonable contingency
plan? How did a company that is a world leader in international
education and development services reach this unfortunate state?
Let's compare IDP's 2001
strategic goals (its most recent) with the current state of affairs
drawing on mainstream accessible public information:
-
High value service
provider demonstrated by higher market share: Indications are that IDP
market share has been affected as a result of institutions supporting
other agents
-
Global: with the recent in-country office closures IDP is going in the
opposite direction, toward a limited regional organisation focused on a
few countries in Asia
-
Diversified: IDP has gained a public reputation for concentrating most
efforts on one sector of Australian education: higher education
-
Leader on development services: IDP shut down its development services
business, and the fellowship business could face the same situation once
its Bostwana contract expires
-
First Choice in International Student Services: there are comments in
the industry that institutions are increasingly turning to other agents
-
Knowledge Centre through leading research: IDP's top international
education researchers already resigned or have been sacked by IDP in the
'transition'. It is expected that this role will be taken over by AEI -
DEST, as well as an array of private consultants
-
Industry preferred, by being a preferred employer within the industry,
able to attract and retain people: Some of its best talents have resigned or
were sacked in the transition.
-
Strategic partners: Apart from some conference sponsonships, there is no
public information on IDP engagement with other relevant private
partners.
The cause of this regrettable situation lies with 'environmental
factors', according to management. The
sacking or resignation of eight senior managers, and countless middle
managers means its management effectively allows its institutional
knowledge, its corporate knowledge, to be gutted with no human resource
contingency. Human resources were IDP's greatest asset.
The lack of corporate responsibility is reflected in other ways
that have long been known throughout the company. Most notably, an
insistence on perks such as the chief executive was reportedly hiring of
limousines from Canberra
airport to IDP's Deakin Offices, in lieu of taxis.
Is there a future for IDP?
It is arguable that the main factors affecting IDP's performance
are not solely environmental, such as the Aussie Dollar or the
increasing competition. The future and survival of IDP Education
Australia will depend more on the appointment of a competent Board of
Directors and senior managers, starting with the Chief Executive.
The symptoms assist neither IDP nor
Australia's international education industry - in fact, in some circles it
prejudices
Australia
's reputation. Most notable was IDP's mishandling of the closing of the US
office. This was revealed during the gigantic NAFSA conference in the United States
.
If IDP is to continue as a world class company it cannot act small
time. It is time for industry to realise this and find a concerted
approach to revamp and revitalise IDP for the sake of this industry and
Australia
.
From Here to Where?
There are grimmer possibilities such as IDP's being caught in a
downward spiral to oblivion. If this trend continues most of the
immensely valuable country directors may spin off their own businesses
in competition with the rump IDP. Thus the investment by current and
ex-country directors (who also 'succumbed to the transition' in the
United States,
Latin America,
Africa,
Europe
and
Brunei) may disappear perhaps serve the needs of the competition. Some in the
industry are speculating that IDP's remaining country directors will
become ‘tired’ of the current ‘state of things’ and will serve
more effectively as independent agents.
The Development business, the original reason for existence of IDP
(formerly known as the "International Development Programme")
will continue to happen in institutions and private companies. IDP has
squandered its reputation and will not be able to easily return to this
side of business.
Resignations or sackings of their most brilliant researchers have
dismantled the ‘industry’ research capacity, upon which IDP gained a
word-wide reputation. Its research is likely to be continued by DEST and
its Australian International Education arm, but other private
consultancies are already capitalising on that niche - including at
least one former IDP country director.
In short, I believe that the existence of IDP is now being
questioned.
This could well be seen as just a self-serving comment from
a laid-off staffer. Furthermore IDP's latest media release argue that it
is really reinvigorating its 'brand equity' with a focus on core
business. Yet how much 'brand equity' is left?
Its reputation seems to
have been substantially undermined. A focus on core business
(international student services) in
Asia
will not happen easily. Asian students are very aspirational and will
not look to apply to study overseas through a company that seems in
crisis.
As I commented in my presentation in the Australian International
Education Conference, the new Asian hubs such as Singapore of Malaysia
(or China
in the near future) are becoming more attractive for a variety of
reasons. Consequently, the numbers of onshore commencing students from
these countries and the region will go back to more sustainable levels.
Thus income generated from student applications to IDP can be expected
to decline.
In spite of its recent export award, IDP's lucrative IELTS side of
business is also under threat. It is important to realise that the
‘next generation TOEFL’ - IELTS offered by the US Educational
Testing Service powerhouse - will be a 24/7 examination - making it
highly competitive against IELTS. More action is expected on this front.
A final remark: IDP was a great company to work for. It had a
world-class staff and great working teams. The question is whether its
management and Board can find a business model that can accommodate
factors outside its control and maintain a momentum to return the
company to its former glory.
I hope so but I can't
see how, right now.
Marcelo Follari
Ex-Project Manager, Industry and Corporate Research
marcelo.follari@bigpond.com
23/12/2004 |